# Barack Obama (barack-obama) · rally 2026-10-24 · 24 words · K k:KXOBAMAMENTION-26OCT24 · as_of 2026-10-24T13:20:00Z
# scope K named · n/y settled · tn/th blank: no rally transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXOBAMAMENTION-26OCT24 ({word} = w of K rows): If Barack Obama says {word} as part of the Fighting for Ohio Rally with President Barack Obama in Cleveland, Ohio, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src
Michelle	michelle	1	3	3	1	YYY	0.59	hist
Chicago	chicago	1	2	2	1	YY	0.58	hist
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist
250	250	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.46	hist
Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional	constitution|constitutional|unconstitutional	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.46	hist
Biden	biden	1	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.41	hist
Ballroom / Pool	ballroom|pool	1	1	0	0	n	0.38	hist
Healthcare	healthcare	1	1	0	0	n	0.38	hist
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	2	0	0	nn	0.33	hist
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	3	0	0	nnn	0.3	hist
Abortion	abortion	1	0	0			0.44	prior
Billionaire	billionaire	1	0	0			0.44	prior
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	0	0			0.44	prior
Democracy	democracy	1	0	0			0.44	prior
ICE	ice	1	0	0			0.44	prior
Immigration / Immigrant	immigrant|immigration	1	0	0			0.44	prior
Inflation	inflation	1	0	0			0.44	prior
Minimum Wage	minimum wage	1	0	0			0.44	prior
Social Security	social security	1	0	0			0.44	prior
Tariff	tariff	1	0	0			0.44	prior
Tax	tax	1	0	0			0.44	prior
Trump (2+ times)	trump#2	2	0	0			0.44	prior
Union / Unionize	union|unionize	1	0	0			0.44	prior
Vance	vance	1	0	0			0.44	prior