# Political debates (political-debates) · debate 2026-04-01 · 18 words · K k:KXNYCMDEBMENTION-26APR01 · as_of 2026-10-24T22:03:56Z
# scope K any_candidate · n/y settled before 2026-04-01 · tn/th blank: no debate transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNYCMDEBMENTION-26APR01 ({word} = w of K rows): If any participating candidate says {word} as part of South Carolina governor debate, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Healthcare	healthcare	3	3	1	YYY	0.77	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	3	3	1	YYY	0.77	hist	no
Iran	iran	1	1	1	Y	0.67	hist	yes
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	1	1	Y	0.67	hist	yes
Woke / DEI	dei|woke	1	1	1	Y	0.67	hist	no
Immigrant / Immigration	immigrant|immigration	0	0			0.67	hist	no
Mental Health	mental health	1	1	1	Y	0.66	hist	no
Billionaire	billionaire	4	3	0.75	YYYn	0.6	hist	no
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.56	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	10	4	0.4	nnYnnYYnnY	0.5	hist	yes
Housing	housing	4	2	0.5	YYnn	0.49	hist	yes
Epstein	epstein	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.48	hist	no
Abortion	abortion	0	0			0.59	prior	no
China / Chinese	china|chinese	0	0			0.59	prior	no
DMV	dmv	0	0			0.59	prior	no
Oil	oil	0	0			0.59	prior	no
Property Tax	property tax	0	0			0.59	prior	yes
Rural	rural	0	0			0.59	prior	no