# Political debates (political-debates) · debate 2025-06-12 · 37 words · K k:KXNYCMDEBMENTION-25JUN12 · P p:nyc-mayoral-2nd-democratic-primary-debate-mentions · as_of 2026-10-25T03:24:38Z
# scope K any_candidate; P named · n/y settled before 2025-06-12 · tn/th blank: no debate transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNYCMDEBMENTION-25JUN12 ({word} = w of K rows): If the candidates say {word} as part of 2nd NYC Democratic mayoral primary debate originally scheduled for 7:00PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:nyc-mayoral-2nd-democratic-primary-debate-mentions (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate says the listed term during their appearance at this event.
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Homeless	homeless	1	P	1	1	1	Y	0.6	hist	yes
MAGA / Make America Great Again	maga|make america great again	1	P	1	1	1	Y	0.6	hist	no
Pizza	pizza	1	P	1	1	1	Y	0.6	hist	no
Rent	rent	1	P	1	1	1	Y	0.6	hist	yes
Subway 5+ times	subway#5	5	P	1	1	1	Y	0.6	hist	yes
Billionaire	billionaire	1	K	1	1	1	Y	0.59	hist	yes
Immigrant	immigrant	1	K	1	1	1	Y	0.59	hist	yes
Knicks	knick	1	KP	1	1	1	Y	0.59	hist	no
Rikers	riker	1	KP	1	1	1	Y	0.59	hist	yes
Sanctuary	sanctuary	1	K	1	1	1	Y	0.59	hist	yes
COVID	covid	1	KP	1	1	1	Y	0.56	hist	yes
Trump (10+ times)	trump#10	10	K	1	1	1	Y	0.56	hist	yes
Corrupt	corrupt	1	K	0	0			0.56	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	P	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.44	hist	no
Pervert	pervert	1	P	1	0	0	n	0.39	hist	no
Sexual Assault / Sexual Harassment	sexual assault|sexual harassment	1	K	0	0			0.39	hist	yes
Black Lives Matter / BLM	black lives matter|blm	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	no
Congestion	congestion	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	no
Egg	egg	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	no
Stop and Frisk	stop and frisk	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	P	3	0	0	nnn	0.28	hist	no
AOC	aoc	1	P	0	0			0.5	prior	no
ICE	ice	1	P	0	0			0.5	prior	yes
Sanctuary City	sanctuary city	1	P	0	0			0.5	prior	yes
Trump 15+ times	trump#15	15	P	0	0			0.5	prior	yes
California	california	1	K	0	0			0.47	prior	no
Defund the Police	defund the police	1	K	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Eric Adams	eric adam	1	KP	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Housing (10+ times)	housing#10	10	K	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Immigration and Customs Enforcement / ICE	ice|immigration and customs enforcement	1	K	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Inflation	inflation	1	K	0	0			0.47	prior	no
Israel	israel	1	K	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Los Angeles	los angele	1	K	0	0			0.47	prior	no
National Guard	national guard	1	K	0	0			0.47	prior	no
Palestine	palestine	1	K	0	0			0.47	prior	no
School	school	1	K	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Socialist	socialist	1	K	0	0			0.47	prior	yes