# Political debates (political-debates) · debate 2025-06-04 · 48 words · K k:KXNYCMDEBMENTION-25JUN04 · P p:nyc-mayoral-1st-democratic-primary-debate-mentions · as_of 2026-10-25T17:44:41Z
# scope K any_candidate; P named · n/y settled before 2025-06-04 · tn/th blank: no debate transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNYCMDEBMENTION-25JUN04 ({word} = w of K rows): If the candidates says {word} as part of 1st NYC Democratic mayoral primary debate, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:nyc-mayoral-1st-democratic-primary-debate-mentions (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate says the listed term during their appearance at this event.
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	P	2	0	0	nn	0.26	hist	yes
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	P	2	0	0	nn	0.26	hist	no
Antisemite / Antisemitism	antisemite|antisemitism	1	P	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Bail	bail	1	P	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Bribe	bribe	1	P	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Columbus Day	columbus day	1	P	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	P	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
COVID	covid	1	P	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Crime 10+ times	crime#10	10	P	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Hamas	hama	1	P	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Italian	italian	1	P	0	0			0.39	prior	no
LaGuardia	laguardia	1	P	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
MAGA / Make America Great Again	maga|make america great again	1	P	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Nursing home	nursing home	1	P	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Pervert	pervert	1	P	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Pizza	pizza	1	P	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Sexual assault	sexual assault	1	P	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Subway 5+ times	subway#5	5	P	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Trump 10+ times	trump#10	10	P	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Affordable	affordable	1	K	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Billionaire	billionaire	1	K	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Black Lives Matter / BLM	black lives matter|blm	1	K	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Carbon	carbon	1	K	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Climate	climate	1	K	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Congestion	congestion	1	K	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Crime	crime	1	K	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Egg	egg	1	K	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Fight Like Hell	fight like hell	1	K	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Homeless	homeless	1	KP	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Housing	housing	1	K	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Immigrant	immigrant	1	K	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Indictment	indictment	1	K	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Knicks	knick	1	K	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Mental Illness	mental illness	1	K	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Plane Ticket	plane ticket	1	K	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Rat	rat	1	K	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Rent	rent	1	KP	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Rikers	riker	1	K	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Safety	safety	1	K	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Sanctuary	sanctuary	1	K	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Stop and Frisk	stop and frisk	1	K	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Subway	subway	1	K	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Tough on Crime	tough on crime	1	K	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Transit	transit	1	K	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Trump	trump	1	K	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Turkiye	turkiye	1	K	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Unhoused	unhoused	1	K	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Violence	violence	1	K	0	0			0.36	prior	yes