# Political debates (political-debates) · debate 2026-01-27 · 21 words · K k:KXNYCMAYORDEBATEMENTION-26JAN27 · as_of 2026-10-25T04:34:15Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-27 · tn/th blank: no debate transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNYCMAYORDEBATEMENTION-26JAN27 ({word} = w of K rows): If Robin Kelly or Raja Krishnamoorthi or Juliana Stratton says {word} as part of Open Seat in Illinois: U.S. Senate Democratic Primary Debate, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Billionaire / Millionaire	billionaire|millionaire	0	0			0.68	hist	yes
Trump	trump	2	2	1	YY	0.67	hist	yes
Economy / Economic	economic|economy	0	0			0.66	hist	yes
Greenland / Venezuela	greenland|venezuela	0	0			0.66	hist	no
Minimum Wage	minimum wage	1	1	1	Y	0.63	hist	no
Housing	housing	1	1	1	Y	0.61	hist	yes
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	0	0			0.6	hist	yes
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	0	0			0.6	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	6	2	0.33	nnYnnY	0.47	hist	yes
Grocery / Inflation	grocery|inflation	0	0			0.43	hist	yes
Childcare / Child Care	child care|childcare	0	0			0.54	prior	yes
Deficit / Budget	budget|deficit	0	0			0.54	prior	yes
Epstein	epstein	0	0			0.54	prior	no
Fraud	fraud	0	0			0.54	prior	no
Healthcare	healthcare	0	0			0.54	prior	yes
Insurrection Act	insurrection act	0	0			0.54	prior	no
Noem / Impeach	impeach|noem	0	0			0.54	prior	yes
Pension / Union	pension|union	0	0			0.54	prior	yes
Redistrict / Redistricting	redistrict|redistricting	0	0			0.54	prior	no
Tariff	tariff	0	0			0.54	prior	yes
Tax	tax	0	0			0.54	prior	yes