# Political debates (political-debates) · debate 2026-02-20 · 19 words · K k:KXNYCMAYORDEBATEMENTION-26FEB20 · as_of 2026-10-26T21:45:47Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-02-20 · tn/th blank: no debate transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNYCMAYORDEBATEMENTION-26FEB20 ({word} = w of K rows): If Robin Kelly or Raja Krishnamoorthi or Juliana Stratton says {word} as part of Illinois U.S. Senate Democratic Primary Debate originally scheduled for February 19th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Trump	trump	4	4	1	YYYY	0.78	yes
Housing	housing	2	2	1	YY	0.7	no
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	1	1	1	Y	0.67	yes
Billionaire / Millionaire	billionaire|millionaire	1	1	1	Y	0.67	yes
Economy / Economic	economic|economy	1	1	1	Y	0.67	yes
Grocery / Inflation	grocery|inflation	1	1	1	Y	0.67	yes
Healthcare	healthcare	1	1	1	Y	0.67	yes
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	1	1	1	Y	0.67	yes
Noem / Impeach	impeach|noem	1	1	1	Y	0.67	yes
Pension / Union	pension|union	1	1	1	Y	0.67	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	1	1	Y	0.67	yes
Tax	tax	1	1	1	Y	0.67	yes
Childcare	childcare	0	0			0.65	no
Fraud	fraud	2	1	0.5	nY	0.55	no
Minimum Wage	minimum wage	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.53	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	8	3	0.38	nnYnnYYn	0.48	no
Insurrection Act	insurrection act	1	0	0	n	0.45	no
Redistrict / Redistricting	redistrict|redistricting	1	0	0	n	0.45	no
Epstein	epstein	2	0	0	nn	0.37	yes