# Political debates (political-debates) · debate 2026-02-18 · 18 words · K k:KXNYCMAYORDEBATEMENTION-26FEB18 · as_of 2026-10-24T13:51:33Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-02-18 · tn/th blank: no debate transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNYCMAYORDEBATEMENTION-26FEB18 ({word} = w of K rows): If Joan Huffman or Aaron Reitz or Mayes Middleton or Chip Roy says {word} as part of Texas Attorney General Republican primary debate, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	3	3	1	YYY	0.73	hist	yes
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	2	2	1	YY	0.67	hist	no
ICE / Border Patrol	border patrol|ice	0	0			0.67	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	7	3	0.43	nnYnnYY	0.56	hist	no
MAGA / Make America Great Again	maga|make america great again	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.54	hist	yes
Transgender	transgender	1	0	0	n	0.45	hist	yes
Epstein	epstein	1	0	0	n	0.44	hist	no
Fraud	fraud	1	0	0	n	0.44	hist	yes
Woke / DEI	dei|woke	0	0			0.42	hist	yes
America First	america first	0	0			0.56	prior	yes
Biden	biden	0	0			0.56	prior	yes
Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional	constitution|constitutional|unconstitutional	0	0			0.56	prior	yes
Election	election	0	0			0.56	prior	yes
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	0	0			0.56	prior	yes
Radical Left	radical left	0	0			0.56	prior	yes
Second Amendment	second amendment	0	0			0.56	prior	no
Sharia Law	sharia law	0	0			0.56	prior	yes
Supreme Court	supreme court	0	0			0.56	prior	yes