# Gavin Newsom (gavin-newsom) · remarks 2026-05-27 · 14 words · K k:KXNEWSOMMENTION-26MAY27 · as_of 2026-10-24T15:19:02Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-05-27 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNEWSOMMENTION-26MAY27 ({word} = w of K rows): If Gavin Newsom says {word} as part of Governor Newsom announces new action to safeguard California's elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	4	3	0.75	YnYY	0.62	hist	yes
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	1	1	1	Y	0.58	hist	yes
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	5	3	0.6	nYnYY	0.58	hist	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	6	3	0.5	YnnYYn	0.55	hist	no
Republican	republican	1	13	6	0.46	YYnYnnnYYn	0.54	hist	no
Fraud	fraud	1	8	3	0.38	nnnYnnYY	0.45	hist	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.44	hist	no
Democracy	democracy	1	19	9	0.47	nYnYnnnnnY	0.38	hist	yes
2028 / Campaign	2028|campaign	1	17	5	0.29	YnYnYnnnYY	0.38	hist	yes
Spencer / Pratt	pratt|spencer	1	1	0	0	n	0.38	hist	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	11	3	0.27	nnnnnYnYnY	0.35	hist	no
ID / Identification	id|identification	1	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Karen / Bass	bass|karen	1	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting	redistrict|redistricted|redistricting	1	0	0			0.49	prior	yes