# Gavin Newsom (gavin-newsom) · remarks 2026-05-14 · 15 words · K k:KXNEWSOMMENTION-26MAY14 · as_of 2026-10-24T09:13:10Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-05-14 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNEWSOMMENTION-26MAY14 ({word} = w of K rows): If Gavin Newsom says {word} as part of Governor Newsom releases revised budget plan, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	18	14	0.78	YYYnYYYYnY	0.7	hist	yes
Mental Health	mental health	5	4	0.8	YYYYn	0.64	hist	yes
Homeless / Homelessness	homeless|homelessness	6	4	0.67	YYnYnY	0.56	hist	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	4	2	0.5	YnnY	0.52	hist	yes
Republican	republican	11	5	0.45	nYYYnYnnnY	0.51	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence 	ai|artificial intelligence	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.46	hist	yes
Climate	climate	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.45	hist	no
Election	election	5	2	0.4	nYnYn	0.42	hist	yes
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.41	hist	yes
Democracy	democracy	17	8	0.47	nYnYnYnnnn	0.37	hist	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	yes
Fraud	fraud	6	1	0.17	nnnYnn	0.29	hist	yes
2028 / Campaign	2028|campaign	15	3	0.2	nnYnYnYnnn	0.27	hist	yes
Healthcare	healthcare	8	1	0.12	nnnYnnnn	0.25	hist	yes
Spencer / Pratt	pratt|spencer	0	0			0.45	prior	no