# Gavin Newsom (gavin-newsom) · presser 2026-03-25 · 12 words · K k:KXNEWSOMMENTION-26MAR25 · as_of 2026-10-24T09:01:26Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-25 · tn/th blank: no presser transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNEWSOMMENTION-26MAR25 ({word} = w of K rows): If Gavin Newsom says {word} as part of Governor Gavin Newsom launches effort to recruit young people to serve communities, gain job skills, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Economy / Economic	economic|economy	5	5	1	YYYYY	0.69	hist	no
Trump	trump	15	12	0.8	YYnYYYnYYY	0.67	hist	yes
Mental Health	mental health	3	3	1	YYY	0.64	hist	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	no
Republican	republican	8	4	0.5	nnYYYnYn	0.47	hist	no
2028 / Campaign	2028|campaign	12	3	0.25	nnnnnYnYnY	0.36	hist	no
Iran	iran	2	0	0	nn	0.31	hist	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	8	1	0.12	nnnnnnYn	0.28	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	0	0			0.44	prior	yes
Enroll / Enrollment	enroll|enrollment	0	0			0.44	prior	no
Mentor / Mentorship	mentor|mentorship	0	0			0.44	prior	no
Suicide	suicide	0	0			0.44	prior	no