# Gavin Newsom (gavin-newsom) · remarks 2026-03-03 · 16 words · K k:KXNEWSOMMENTION-26MAR03 · as_of 2026-10-24T23:32:22Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-03 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNEWSOMMENTION-26MAR03 ({word} = w of K rows): If Gavin Newsom says {word} as part of Governor Newsom announces new statewide accountability, funding for homelessness & mental health, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	13	10	0.77	YYYYnYYYnY	0.66	hist	yes
Safe / Safer / Safety	safe|safer|safety	2	2	1	YY	0.65	hist	yes
Housing	housing	0	0			0.61	hist	yes
Democracy	democracy	13	8	0.62	nYYYnYnYnY	0.53	hist	no
Republican	republican	6	3	0.5	nnYYYn	0.53	hist	yes
ICE / Border	border|ice	5	3	0.6	YnYnY	0.52	hist	no
Budget / Deficit	budget|deficit	2	1	0.5	nY	0.48	hist	no
Election	election	2	1	0.5	nY	0.45	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	4	1	0.25	nnnY	0.39	hist	no
2028 / Campaign	2028|campaign	10	2	0.2	nnnnnnnYnY	0.28	hist	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	6	0	0	nnnnnn	0.19	hist	yes
Constitutional / Unconstitutional	constitutional|unconstitutional	0	0			0.46	prior	no
Encampment	encampment	0	0			0.46	prior	yes
Iran	iran	0	0			0.46	prior	no
Treat / Treatment	treat|treatment	0	0			0.46	prior	yes
Veteran	veteran	0	0			0.46	prior	no