# Gavin Newsom (gavin-newsom) · keynote 2026-01-23 · 14 words · K k:KXNEWSOMMENTION-26JAN23 · as_of 2026-10-24T20:14:17Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-23 · tn/th blank: no keynote transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNEWSOMMENTION-26JAN23 ({word} = w of K rows): If Gavin Newsom says {word} as part of WEF Conversation with Gavin Newsom, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Economy / Economic	economic|economy	4	4	1	YYYY	0.69	hist	yes
Trump	trump	6	5	0.83	YYnYYY	0.66	hist	yes
Democracy	democracy	6	4	0.67	YYnnYY	0.57	hist	yes
Immigrant / Immigration	immigrant|immigration	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	yes
Republican	republican	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.41	hist	yes
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	4	1	0.25	nnYn	0.37	hist	yes
Billionaire	billionaire	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	no
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	yes
Clean Energy / Green / Climate	clean energy|climate|green	0	0			0.35	hist	no
Fraud	fraud	2	0	0	nn	0.32	hist	no
2028 / Campaign	2028|campaign	3	0	0	nnn	0.28	hist	no
Healthcare	healthcare	3	0	0	nnn	0.28	hist	yes
Greenland	greenland	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Russia / Ukraine	russia|ukraine	0	0			0.45	prior	no