# Gavin Newsom (gavin-newsom) · remarks 2026-01-17 · 12 words · K k:KXNEWSOMMENTION-26JAN17 · as_of 2026-10-24T07:28:48Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-17 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNEWSOMMENTION-26JAN17 ({word} = w of K rows): If Gavin Newsom says {word} as part of Governor Newsom and Mayor Lurie announce new funding for homelessness and mental health in SF, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Economy / Economic	economic|economy	3	3	1	YYY	0.61	hist	yes
Trump	trump	5	4	0.8	YYnYY	0.58	hist	yes
Democracy	democracy	5	3	0.6	YYnnY	0.48	hist	yes
Crisis	crisis	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.41	hist	yes
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.38	hist	no
Fraud	fraud	1	0	0	n	0.32	hist	no
Healthcare	healthcare	2	0	0	nn	0.28	hist	no
Republican	republican	2	0	0	nn	0.28	hist	yes
2028 / Campaign	2028|campaign	2	0	0	nn	0.27	hist	no
Equality / Inequality	equality|inequality	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Home / Housing	home|housing	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Progress	progress	0	0			0.39	prior	yes