# Gavin Newsom (gavin-newsom) · interview 2026-01-06 · 14 words · K k:KXNEWSOMMENTION-26JAN06 · as_of 2026-10-24T09:21:02Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-06 · tn/th blank: no interview transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNEWSOMMENTION-26JAN06 ({word} = w of K rows): If Gavin Newsom says {word} as part of The Weeknight on January 5th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Economy / Economic	economic|economy	1	1	1	Y	0.48	hist	yes
Democracy	democracy	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.47	hist	no
Trump	trump	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.47	hist	yes
2028 / Campaign	2028|campaign	0	0			0.47	hist	no
Climate Change	climate change	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.35	hist	no
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	1	0	0	n	0.31	hist	no
Clean Energy / Green	clean energy|green	1	0	0	n	0.31	hist	no
Healthcare	healthcare	1	0	0	n	0.31	hist	no
Republican	republican	1	0	0	n	0.31	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	2	0	0	nn	0.27	hist	no
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Maduro / Venezuela	maduro|venezuela	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Oil	oil	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Palisades	palisade	0	0			0.37	prior	no