# Gavin Newsom (gavin-newsom) · briefing 2026-02-26 · 14 words · K k:KXNEWSOMMENTION-26FEB26 · as_of 2026-10-24T08:55:39Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-02-26 · tn/th blank: no briefing transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNEWSOMMENTION-26FEB26 ({word} = w of K rows): If Gavin Newsom says {word} as part of The Briefing With Jen Psaki, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	12	9	0.75	nYYYYnYYYn	0.61	hist	yes
Republican	republican	5	3	0.6	nnYYY	0.52	hist	no
Democracy	democracy	12	7	0.58	nnYYYnYnYn	0.5	hist	yes
ICE / Border	border|ice	4	2	0.5	YnYn	0.45	hist	yes
Dyslexia	dyslexia	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	no
Election	election	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	yes
SAT	sat	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	3	0	0	nnn	0.28	hist	yes
Healthcare	healthcare	7	1	0.14	nnnYnnn	0.27	hist	no
Fraud	fraud	3	0	0	nnn	0.27	hist	yes
2028 / Campaign	2028|campaign	9	1	0.11	nnnnnnnYn	0.26	hist	yes
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	5	0	0	nnnnn	0.22	hist	no
Racist / Racism	racism|racist	0	0			0.42	prior	yes
Tariff	tariff	0	0			0.42	prior	yes