# Gavin Newsom (gavin-newsom) · panel 2026-02-23 · 14 words · K k:KXNEWSOMMENTION-26FEB23 · as_of 2026-10-24T18:31:34Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-02-23 · tn/th blank: no panel transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNEWSOMMENTION-26FEB23 ({word} = w of K rows): If Gavin Newsom says {word} as part of An Evening with Gavin Newsom in Atlanta, GA, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	10	8	0.8	YYnYYYYnYY	0.66	hist	yes
Democracy	democracy	10	6	0.6	YYnnYYYnYn	0.53	hist	yes
Homeless / Homelessness	homeless|homelessness	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.51	hist	yes
Climate	climate	0	0			0.46	hist	no
ICE / Border	border|ice	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.45	hist	yes
Fire / Wildfire	fire|wildfire	0	0			0.37	hist	yes
Kalshi	kalshi	1	0	0	n	0.36	hist	no
Healthcare	healthcare	5	1	0.2	nnnYn	0.33	hist	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	3	0	0	nnn	0.27	hist	no
2028 / Campaign	2028|campaign	7	0	0	nnnnnnn	0.2	hist	yes
Childhood	childhood	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Podcast	podcast	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
Same Sex	same sex	0	0			0.43	prior	no
San Francisco	san francisco	0	0			0.43	prior	yes