# Gavin Newsom (gavin-newsom) · remarks 2026-02-20 · 12 words · K k:KXNEWSOMMENTION-26FEB20 · as_of 2026-10-24T23:20:09Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-02-20 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNEWSOMMENTION-26FEB20 ({word} = w of K rows): If Gavin Newsom says {word} as part of public transportation announcement in Bay Area, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	8	6	0.75	YYnYYYYn	0.58	hist	yes
ICE / Border	border|ice	0	0			0.53	hist	yes
Democracy	democracy	8	5	0.62	YYnnYYYn	0.52	hist	yes
Climate / Emission	climate|emission	0	0			0.37	hist	yes
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	0	0	n	0.34	hist	no
Budget / Deficit	budget|deficit	1	0	0	n	0.34	hist	yes
2028 / Campaign	2028|campaign	5	0	0	nnnnn	0.21	hist	no
BRT / Rapid Transit	brt|rapid transit	0	0			0.44	prior	no
Commute / Commuter	commute|commuter	0	0			0.44	prior	no
Light Rail / Train	light rail|train	0	0			0.44	prior	yes
Safe / Safer / Safety	safe|safer|safety	0	0			0.44	prior	yes
Traffic	traffic	0	0			0.44	prior	yes