# Gavin Newsom (gavin-newsom) · remarks 2026-02-11 · 15 words · K k:KXNEWSOMMENTION-26FEB11 · as_of 2026-10-24T21:07:40Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-02-11 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNEWSOMMENTION-26FEB11 ({word} = w of K rows): If Gavin Newsom says {word} as part of new actions to protect veterans announcement, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	7	6	0.86	YYnYYYY	0.68	hist	no
Democracy	democracy	7	5	0.71	YYnnYYY	0.61	hist	no
Home / Housing	home|housing	1	1	1	Y	0.57	hist	yes
Homeless / Homelessness	homeless|homelessness	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	yes
Republican	republican	4	2	0.5	nnYY	0.51	hist	yes
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	2	1	0.5	nY	0.47	hist	yes
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	0	0			0.44	hist	no
Healthcare	healthcare	4	1	0.25	nnnY	0.36	hist	no
2028 / Campaign	2028|campaign	4	0	0	nnnn	0.25	hist	no
Bad Bunny	bad bunny	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Budget / Deficit	budget|deficit	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Election	election	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Insurance	insurance	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Mental Health	mental health	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Scholarship	scholarship	0	0			0.45	prior	no