# Gavin Newsom (gavin-newsom) · remarks 2026-04-22 · 13 words · K k:KXNEWSOMMENTION-26APR22 · as_of 2026-10-24T12:32:03Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-22 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNEWSOMMENTION-26APR22 ({word} = w of K rows): If Gavin Newsom says {word} as part of Governor Newsom, First Partner celebrate Earth Day with historic State Parks expansion , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	17	13	0.76	nYYYnYYYYn	0.68	hist	yes
Pollute / Polluted / Pollution	pollute|polluted|pollution	0	0			0.59	hist	no
Republican	republican	10	4	0.4	nnYYYnYnnn	0.45	hist	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.43	hist	yes
Democracy	democracy	16	8	0.5	YnYnYnYnnn	0.41	hist	no
Wildfire	wildfire	2	0	0	nn	0.35	hist	no
Fraud	fraud	5	1	0.2	nnnYn	0.34	hist	no
Climate	climate	2	0	0	nn	0.34	hist	yes
Afford / Affordability / Affordable	afford|affordability|affordable	9	2	0.22	nnnnnnYnY	0.33	hist	no
2028 / Campaign	2028|campaign	14	3	0.21	nnnYnYnYnn	0.3	hist	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	0	0			0.27	hist	no
Rural	rural	0	0			0.47	prior	no
Sustainable / Sustainability	sustainability|sustainable	0	0			0.47	prior	no