# Gavin Newsom (gavin-newsom) · panel 2025-11-12 · 15 words · K k:KXNEWSOMMENTION-25NOV12 · as_of 2026-10-24T21:59:13Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-11-12 · tn/th blank: no panel transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNEWSOMMENTION-25NOV12 ({word} = w of K rows): If Gavin Newsom says {word} as part of Fireside chat at COP30 in Belem, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	p	res
Carbon Credit	carbon credit	0	0		0.38	no
Clean Energy	clean energy	0	0		0.38	no
Climate Change	climate change	0	0		0.38	yes
Democracy	democracy	0	0		0.38	yes
EV	ev	0	0		0.38	no
Fire	fire	0	0		0.38	no
Fossil Fuel	fossil fuel	0	0		0.38	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	0	0		0.38	no
Pollution / Pollute	pollute|pollution	0	0		0.38	yes
President / Campaign	campaign|president	0	0		0.38	yes
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	0	0		0.38	no
Solar	solar	0	0		0.38	no
Trump	trump	0	0		0.38	yes
Water	water	0	0		0.38	no
Wind	wind	0	0		0.38	no