# Gavin Newsom (gavin-newsom) · hearing 2025-12-13 · 14 words · K k:KXNEWSOMMENTION-25DEC13 · as_of 2026-10-27T07:21:26Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-12-13 · tn/th blank: no hearing transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K, res no · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNEWSOMMENTION-25DEC13 ({word} = w of K rows): If Gavin Newsom says {word} as part of Democratic National Committee, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src
Democracy	democracy	2	2	1	YY	0.59	hist
Trump	trump	2	2	1	YY	0.59	hist
2028	2028	1	1	1	Y	0.53	hist
Crisis	crisis	1	1	1	Y	0.53	hist
Climate Change	climate change	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.44	hist
Epstein	epstein	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist
Wildfire	wildfire	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist
Clean Energy / Green	clean energy|green	0	0			0.3	hist
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	0	0			0.43	prior
Billionaire	billionaire	0	0			0.43	prior
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	0	0			0.43	prior
Healthcare	healthcare	0	0			0.43	prior
Midterm	midterm	0	0			0.43	prior
Republican	republican	0	0			0.43	prior