# Gavin Newsom (gavin-newsom) · keynote 2025-12-04 · 18 words · K k:KXNEWSOMMENTION-25DEC04 · as_of 2026-10-25T07:41:35Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-12-04 · tn/th blank: no keynote transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNEWSOMMENTION-25DEC04 ({word} = w of K rows): If Gavin Newsom says {word} as part of 2025 New York Times DealBook Summit, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Climate Change	climate change	1	1	1	Y	0.49	hist	no
Democracy	democracy	1	1	1	Y	0.49	hist	yes
Pollution / Pollute	pollute|pollution	1	1	1	Y	0.49	hist	yes
Trump	trump	1	1	1	Y	0.49	hist	yes
Campaign	campaign	0	0			0.49	hist	yes
Clean Energy	clean energy	1	0	0	n	0.32	hist	no
EV	ev	1	0	0	n	0.32	hist	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	1	0	0	n	0.32	hist	yes
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	1	0	0	n	0.32	hist	yes
Solar	solar	1	0	0	n	0.32	hist	no
2028	2028	0	0			0.38	prior	yes
Brazil / Amazon	amazon|brazil	0	0			0.38	prior	no
Crisis	crisis	0	0			0.38	prior	yes
Economy / Economic	economic|economy	0	0			0.38	prior	yes
Elon	elon	0	0			0.38	prior	no
Epstein	epstein	0	0			0.38	prior	no
Texas	texa	0	0			0.38	prior	yes
Wildfire	wildfire	0	0			0.38	prior	no