# Benjamin Netanyahu (benjamin-netanyahu) · speech 2026-09-24 · 26 words · K k:KXNETANYAHUMENTION-26SEP24 · P p:what-will-netanyahu-say-during-the-united-nations-general-assembly · as_of 2026-10-24T22:09:45Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2026-09-24 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNETANYAHUMENTION-26SEP24 ({word} = w of K rows): If Benjamin Netanyahu says {word} as part of the United Nations General Assembly, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-netanyahu-say-during-the-united-nations-general-assembly (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu says the listed term during the specified appearance.
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Nuclear	nuclear	1	KP	6	6	1	YYYYYY	0.68	hist	yes
Gaza / Palestine	gaza|palestine	1	K	3	3	1	YYY	0.65	hist	yes
Hamas / Hezbollah	hama|hezbollah	1	K	2	2	1	YY	0.63	hist	yes
October 7	october 7	1	K	3	3	1	YYY	0.61	hist	yes
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	1	K	5	4	0.8	YYYYn	0.58	hist	yes
Lebanon	lebanon	1	K	6	4	0.67	YnYYYn	0.56	hist	no
Abraham Accords	abraham accord	1	KP	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	no
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	KP	5	3	0.6	YnYYn	0.54	hist	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	K	0	0			0.54	hist	yes
Antisemitic / Antisemitism	antisemitic|antisemitism	1	P	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	KP	4	2	0.5	nYYn	0.51	hist	yes
Drone	drone	1	KP	5	2	0.4	nnYYn	0.51	hist	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	1	KP	6	3	0.5	YnYYnn	0.47	hist	no
Yemen / Houthis	houthis|yemen	1	KP	1	0	0	n	0.47	hist	yes
Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation	negotiate|negotiated|negotiation	1	KP	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.45	hist	no
Uranium	uranium	1	KP	2	0	0	nn	0.42	hist	no
Hormuz	hormuz	1	KP	5	1	0.2	nYnnn	0.41	hist	no
Iron Dome	iron dome	1	K	5	0	0	nnnnn	0.37	hist	no
Zohran / Mamdani / Mayor	mamdani|mayor|zohran	1	K	0	0			0.54	prior	yes
Iran / Lebanon 5+ times	iran|lebanon#5	5	P	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
Israel 10+ times	israel#10	10	P	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
Regime 5+ times	regime#5	5	P	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
Settler / Settlement	settlement|settler	1	P	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
Terror / Terrorist / Terrorism 5+ times	terror|terrorism|terrorist#5	5	P	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
Violence	violence	1	P	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
Zohran / Mamdani	mamdani|zohran	1	P	0	0			0.51	prior	yes