# Benjamin Netanyahu (benjamin-netanyahu) · speech 2025-09-26 · 36 words · K k:KXNETANYAHUMENTION-25SEP26 · P p:what-will-netanyahu-say-during-address-to-un-general-assembly-on-sept-26 · as_of 2026-10-25T07:41:35Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2025-09-26 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNETANYAHUMENTION-25SEP26 ({word} = w of K rows): If Benjamin Netanyahu says {word} as part of Address to the United Nations General Assembly on September 26th, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-netanyahu-say-during-address-to-un-general-assembly-on-sept-26 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Netanyahu says the listed term during his appearance at this event.
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	p	res
Abraham Accord	abraham accord	1	P	0	0		0.44	yes
Antisemitic / Antisemitism 5+ times	antisemitic|antisemitism#5	5	P	0	0		0.44	yes
Charlie / Kirk	charlie|kirk	1	P	0	0		0.44	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	P	0	0		0.44	no
Goon	goon	1	P	0	0		0.44	no
Hamas 15+ times	hama#15	15	P	0	0		0.44	yes
Hostage 3+ times	hostage#3	3	P	0	0		0.44	yes
Human Shield	human shield	1	P	0	0		0.44	yes
Iran 25+ times	iran#25	25	P	0	0		0.44	no
Israel 50+ times	israel#50	50	P	0	0		0.44	yes
October 7 / October 7th	october 7|october 7th	1	P	0	0		0.44	yes
Palau / Paraguay / Hungary	hungary|palau|paraguay	1	P	0	0		0.44	no
Palestine	palestine	1	P	0	0		0.44	no
Proxy	proxy	1	P	0	0		0.44	yes
Slander	slander	1	P	0	0		0.44	no
Yemen	yemen	1	P	0	0		0.44	yes
1948	1948	1	K	0	0		0.42	no
Abraham	abraham	1	K	0	0		0.42	yes
Antisemitic / Antisemitism	antisemitic|antisemitism	1	K	0	0		0.42	yes
Canada	canada	1	K	0	0		0.42	yes
Ceasefire	ceasefire	1	K	0	0		0.42	yes
Distract	distract	1	K	0	0		0.42	no
Eliminate	eliminate	1	K	0	0		0.42	no
France	france	1	K	0	0		0.42	yes
Hostage	hostage	1	K	0	0		0.42	yes
Iran	iran	1	K	0	0		0.42	yes
Lebanon	lebanon	1	K	0	0		0.42	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	1	K	0	0		0.42	yes
October 7	october 7	1	K	0	0		0.42	yes
Palestine / Palestinian	palestine|palestinian	1	K	0	0		0.42	yes
Peace Deal / Peace Treaty	peace deal|peace treaty	1	K	0	0		0.42	no
Qatar	qatar	1	KP	0	0		0.42	no
Trump	trump	1	KP	0	0		0.42	yes
Two-State / Two State	two state	1	K	0	0		0.42	yes
UK / United Kingdom	uk|united kingdom	1	K	0	0		0.42	no
Unite	unite	1	K	0	0		0.42	no