# NBA (nba) · game 2025-12-17 · 12 words · K k:KXNBAMENTION-KXNBACUP · as_of 2026-10-24T11:34:59Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2025-12-17 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNBAMENTION-KXNBACUP ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of 25 Pro Basketball Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Injury / Injured	injured|injury	14	14	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.9	hist	yes
Trade / Trades / Traded	trade|traded	19	14	0.74	YYYYYYnYYn	0.68	hist	no
Playoff	playoff	8	5	0.62	nnnYYYYY	0.56	hist	no
MVP	mvp	21	11	0.52	nnYnYnYYnY	0.5	hist	yes
Ankle	ankle	14	7	0.5	YnnYnnYnYY	0.48	hist	no
Airball / Air Ball	air ball|airball	12	6	0.5	nYYYnYYnnn	0.47	hist	yes
Triple Double	triple double	21	6	0.29	nnnYYnnnnY	0.31	hist	no
Retire / Retirement	retire|retirement	13	1	0.08	nnnnnnnnnY	0.14	hist	no
Buzzer Beater	buzzer beater	20	1	0.05	nnnnnnnnnn	0.09	hist	no
Giannis	giannis	0	0			0.4	prior	no
MSG / Madison Square Garden	madison square garden|msg	0	0			0.4	prior	no
Spike Lee	spike lee	0	0			0.4	prior	yes