# NBA (nba) · game 2026-02-14 · 15 words · K k:KXNBAMENTION-KXNBACELEBRITYGAME-26 · as_of 2026-10-27T10:36:21Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-02-14 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNBAMENTION-KXNBACELEBRITYGAME-26 ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of 2026 Pro Basketball All-Star Celebrity Game originally scheduled for February 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Crowd / Crowded	crowd|crowded	17	16	0.94	YYYYnYYYYY	0.88	hist	yes
Elbow	elbow	75	59	0.79	YYYYYYnYYn	0.75	hist	yes
Dunk / Dunks / Dunked	dunk|dunked	7	5	0.71	YnYYnYY	0.64	hist	yes
Tech / Technical	tech|technical	106	70	0.66	YYYYYYYYnn	0.64	hist	no
Airball / Airballs / Airballed	airball|airballed	17	10	0.59	nYnnnYYYYY	0.57	hist	yes
Ankle	ankle	125	71	0.57	YnnnnnnnYY	0.55	hist	no
Jordan	jordan	78	44	0.56	YYYYYYYnnn	0.55	hist	no
Kia	kia	4	2	0.5	nnYY	0.53	hist	yes
Alley-oop	alley oop	106	47	0.44	nnYYnnYYYn	0.44	hist	yes
Buzzer	buzzer	83	30	0.36	nYnnnnnYYn	0.37	hist	yes
Hollywood	hollywood	0	0			0.54	prior	no
Justin Bieber	justin bieber	0	0			0.54	prior	no
Kevin Hart	kevin hart	0	0			0.54	prior	no
Streamer	streamer	0	0			0.54	prior	no
Wemby / Wembanyama	wembanyama|wemby	0	0			0.54	prior	yes
