# NBA (nba) · game 2026-02-15 · 18 words · K k:KXNBAMENTION-ALLSTARGAME-26 · as_of 2026-10-27T07:21:26Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-02-15 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNBAMENTION-ALLSTARGAME-26 ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of 2026 Pro Basketball All-Star Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Injury / Injured	injured|injury	126	121	0.96	YYYYYYYYYn	0.94	no
Rookie	rookie	14	14	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.92	yes
Crowd / Crowded	crowd|crowded	19	17	0.89	YYnYYYYYYn	0.83	yes
Elbow	elbow	77	60	0.78	YYYYnYYnYn	0.74	no
Intuit	intuit	6	5	0.83	YYYnYY	0.71	yes
Playoff	playoff	120	84	0.7	YnYnYYYnYn	0.67	no
Trade / Trades / Traded	trade|traded	131	90	0.69	YYYYYnYYYn	0.66	no
Draft	draft	19	13	0.68	YYYYYnnYnY	0.64	no
Tech / Technical	tech|technical	108	70	0.65	YYYYYYnnnn	0.62	no
MVP	mvp	133	79	0.59	YYYnYYnYnY	0.57	yes
Airball / Airballs / Airballed	airball|airballed	19	11	0.58	nnnYYYYYYn	0.56	no
Ankle	ankle	127	71	0.56	nnnnnnYYnn	0.54	no
Jordan	jordan	79	44	0.56	YYYYYYnnnn	0.54	no
Alley-oop	alley oop	108	48	0.44	YYnnYYYnYn	0.44	no
Triple Double	triple double	133	49	0.37	nnYYYYYYYn	0.38	no
Buzzer	buzzer	85	31	0.36	nnnnnYYnYn	0.37	no
Overtime	overtime	15	3	0.2	YnnnnnYnnn	0.26	no
Retire / Retired / Retirement	retire|retired|retirement	58	6	0.1	nnnnnYnYnn	0.13	no