# NBA (nba) · game 2026-01-08 · 15 words · K k:KXNBAMENTION-26JAN08MIACHI · as_of 2026-10-25T05:47:06Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-01-08 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K, res no · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNBAMENTION-26JAN08MIACHI ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Miami at Chicago professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src
Injury / Injured	injured|injury	52	52	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.98	hist
All-Star	all star	29	28	0.97	YYYYYYYYYY	0.92	hist
Jordan	jordan	5	4	0.8	YYYYn	0.72	hist
Ankle	ankle	52	34	0.65	YYnYnYYYYY	0.62	hist
Tech / Technical	tech|technical	33	21	0.64	YYnnYYYYnY	0.62	hist
United	united	1	1	1	Y	0.59	hist
MVP	mvp	59	37	0.63	nYYYYYYnYY	0.59	hist
Playoff	playoff	46	28	0.61	YYYYnYYnYY	0.57	hist
Trade / Trades / Traded	trade|traded	57	34	0.6	YnYnYYYnnY	0.57	hist
Alley-oop	alley oop	33	17	0.52	nYnYnnnnYY	0.47	hist
Airball / Air Ball	air ball|airball	50	22	0.44	nYnnYnnnYn	0.43	hist
Triple Double	triple double	59	18	0.31	nnnnnnYYYY	0.3	hist
Buzzer	buzzer	10	1	0.1	nYnnnnnnnn	0.23	hist
Retire / Retirement	retire|retirement	51	2	0.04	Ynnnnnnnnn	0.07	hist
Elbow	elbow	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.49	prior