# Meet the Press (meet-the-press) · tv_episode 2026-07-26 · 13 words · K k:KXMTPMENTION-26JUL26 · as_of 2026-10-24T18:41:33Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-07-26 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMTPMENTION-26JUL26 ({word} = w of K rows): If Mike Waltz says {word} as part of Meet the Press , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	1	8	7	0.88	YYYYYnYY	0.57	hist	yes
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	4	3	0.75	YnYY	0.53	hist	yes
Hormuz	hormuz	1	1	1	1	Y	0.47	hist	no
Democracy / Democratic	democracy|democratic	1	1	1	1	Y	0.46	hist	no
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.46	hist	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	10	5	0.5	nYYnYYnnYn	0.45	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	1	0	0	n	0.42	hist	no
America First	america first	1	2	0	0	nn	0.37	hist	no
NATO	nato	1	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	no
Venezuela / Cuba	cuba|venezuela	1	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	no
National Security	national security	1	2	0	0	nn	0.36	hist	no
Iran (5+ times)	iran#5	5	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
Yemen / Houthi	houthi|yemen	1	0	0			0.43	prior	yes