# MrBeast (mrbeast) · podcast_episode by 2026-03-21 (settled) · 22 words · K k:KXMRBEASTMENTION-26MAR21 · P p:what-will-mrbeast-say-during-his-next-youtube-video-484 · as_of 2026-10-25T03:00:40Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2026-03-21 · tn/th blank: no podcast episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1 · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMRBEASTMENTION-26MAR21 ({word} = w of K rows): If MrBeast says {word} as part of Next MrBeast Youtube Video, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-mrbeast-say-during-his-next-youtube-video-484 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mr Beast says the listed term during the next video he releases on YouTube.
w	key	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Time	time	K	15	15	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.91	hist	yes
Million	million	K	16	14	0.88	YYYYYYYYYn	0.79	hist	yes
Win	win	K	13	11	0.85	nYYYYYYYnY	0.76	hist	no
Challenge	challenge	K	15	11	0.73	nYnYYYYnnY	0.7	hist	yes
Money	money	K	15	10	0.67	YnnnYYnYnY	0.62	hist	no
Car	car	K	6	4	0.67	nYYYYn	0.58	hist	no
Beast	beast	K	15	8	0.53	nYYYnYYYnn	0.51	hist	no
Contestant	contestant	K	15	8	0.53	nYnYYYYYnY	0.51	hist	yes
Subscribe	subscribe	KP	20	10	0.5	YnnYnnnnnY	0.47	hist	no
Prize	prize	K	17	8	0.47	nnnYYnnYnY	0.46	hist	yes
Water	water	K	15	7	0.47	YnnnnnYYYn	0.46	hist	yes
Feastable	feastable	KP	16	7	0.44	nnnnnYnYYn	0.42	hist	no
Billion	billion	K	7	2	0.29	nnYYnnn	0.35	hist	no
Saudi Arabia	saudi arabia	K	7	0	0	nnnnnnn	0.17	hist	no
Mario / Galaxy	galaxy|mario	KP	0	0			0.47	prior	no
Artem / Kaptur	artem|kaptur	P	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Dance	dance	P	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Hell	hell	P	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Hottest	hottest	P	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Iran / Nuclear	iran|nuclear	P	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Movie / Film	film|movie	P	0	0			0.37	prior	no
Super Bowl	super bowl	P	0	0			0.37	prior	no