# MrBeast (mrbeast) · podcast_episode 2026-02-21 · 15 words · K k:KXMRBEASTMENTION-26MAR16 · as_of 2026-10-25T02:40:03Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-02-21 · tn/th blank: no podcast episode transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMRBEASTMENTION-26MAR16 ({word} = w of K rows): If MrBeast says {word} as part of Next MrBeast Youtube Video, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Time	time	13	13	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.9	yes
Million	million	14	13	0.93	YYYYYYYYYY	0.83	yes
Win	win	11	10	0.91	YYnYYYYYYY	0.8	no
Challenge	challenge	13	10	0.77	YYnYnYYYYn	0.73	no
Money	money	13	9	0.69	YYYnnnYYnY	0.64	no
Car	car	4	3	0.75	nYYY	0.61	yes
Beast	beast	13	8	0.62	nnnYYYnYYY	0.58	no
Contestant	contestant	13	7	0.54	nnnYnYYYYY	0.52	no
Subscribe	subscribe	18	9	0.5	YnYnnYnnnn	0.47	no
Prize	prize	15	7	0.47	YnnnnYYnnY	0.46	no
Water	water	13	6	0.46	YnYnnnnnYY	0.46	yes
Billion	billion	5	2	0.4	nnYYn	0.43	no
Feastable	feastable	14	6	0.43	nYnnnnnYnY	0.41	yes
Insane	insane	18	6	0.33	nnnnnnnYYn	0.34	no
Saudi Arabia	saudi arabia	5	0	0	nnnnn	0.22	no