# MrBeast (mrbeast) · podcast_episode by 2025-12-21 (settled) · 15 words · K k:KXMRBEASTMENTION-26JAN15 · as_of 2026-10-25T08:33:25Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-12-21 · tn/th blank: no podcast episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMRBEASTMENTION-26JAN15 ({word} = w of K rows): If MrBeast says {word} as part of Next MrBeast Youtube Video, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Time	time	9	9	1	YYYYYYYYY	0.85	hist	yes
Million	million	10	9	0.9	YYnYYYYYYY	0.76	hist	yes
Win	win	7	6	0.86	YYYnYYY	0.71	hist	yes
Challenge	challenge	8	6	0.75	YYYYYnYn	0.65	hist	yes
Money	money	9	6	0.67	YYYYYYnnn	0.59	hist	yes
Subscribe	subscribe	13	8	0.62	YYYYYYnYnn	0.52	hist	yes
Beast	beast	9	5	0.56	YnYnnnYYY	0.52	hist	no
Prize	prize	11	5	0.45	nnYYYnnnnY	0.44	hist	yes
Feastable	feastable	9	4	0.44	YYnYnYnnn	0.44	hist	no
Water	water	9	4	0.44	YYnYnYnnn	0.44	hist	no
Saudi Arabia	saudi arabia	1	0	0	n	0.39	hist	no
Contestant	contestant	9	3	0.33	YnnnnnYnY	0.36	hist	yes
Billion	billion	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	no
Insane	insane	13	4	0.31	YnnYYnnnnn	0.28	hist	no
Car	car	0	0			0.44	prior	no