# MrBeast (mrbeast) · podcast_episode 2026-04-05 · 15 words · K k:KXMRBEASTMENTION-26APR05B · as_of 2026-10-24T08:55:39Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-05 · tn/th blank: no podcast episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMRBEASTMENTION-26APR05B ({word} = w of K rows): If MrBeast says {word} as part of massive livestream on the MrBeast YouTube channel, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Million	million	1	18	16	0.89	YYYYYYYnYY	0.81	hist	yes
Chandler	chandler	1	2	2	1	YY	0.57	hist	yes
Twitch	twitch	1	1	1	1	Y	0.57	hist	yes
Subscribe	subscribe	1	22	11	0.5	nYnnnnnYnY	0.47	hist	yes
Mario / Galaxy	galaxy|mario	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.45	hist	no
Feastable	feastable	1	18	8	0.44	nnnYnYYnnY	0.42	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	1	0	0	n	0.38	hist	yes
Sponsor / Sponsored	sponsor|sponsored	1	1	0	0	n	0.38	hist	no
Tesla	tesla	1	1	0	0	n	0.38	hist	no
Chat (3+ times)	chat#3	3	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Easter	easter	1	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Pokemon	pokemon	1	0	0			0.47	prior	no
Reese's	reese	1	0	0			0.47	prior	no
Survivor	survivor	1	0	0			0.47	prior	no
Trump	trump	1	0	0			0.47	prior	no