# MrBeast (mrbeast) · podcast_episode by 2026-04-04 (settled) · 17 words · K k:KXMRBEASTMENTION-26APR04 · as_of 2026-10-24T16:51:27Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-04 · tn/th blank: no podcast episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMRBEASTMENTION-26APR04 ({word} = w of K rows): If MrBeast says {word} as part of Next MrBeast Youtube Video, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Million	million	17	15	0.88	YYYYYYYYnY	0.8	hist	yes
Challenge	challenge	16	12	0.75	YnYYYYnnYY	0.72	hist	yes
Win	win	14	11	0.79	YYYYYYYnYn	0.71	hist	yes
Money	money	16	10	0.62	nnnYYnYnYn	0.59	hist	no
Speed	speed	6	4	0.67	nYYnYY	0.58	hist	yes
Contestant	contestant	16	9	0.56	YnYYYYYnYY	0.54	hist	no
Prize	prize	18	9	0.5	nnYYnnYnYY	0.49	hist	no
Beast	beast	16	8	0.5	YYYnYYYnnn	0.49	hist	no
Subscribe	subscribe	21	10	0.48	nnYnnnnnYn	0.44	hist	yes
Feastable	feastable	17	7	0.41	nnnnYnYYnn	0.39	hist	yes
Mario / Galaxy	galaxy|mario	1	0	0	n	0.34	hist	yes
Billion	billion	8	2	0.25	nnYYnnnn	0.32	hist	yes
Charity	charity	8	0	0	nnnnnnnn	0.14	hist	no
Chandler	chandler	1	1	1	Y	0.47	prior	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	0	0			0.47	prior	no
Sponsor / Sponsored	sponsor|sponsored	0	0			0.47	prior	no
Twitch	twitch	0	0			0.47	prior	yes