# MrBeast (mrbeast) · podcast_episode by 2025-09-15 (settled) · 20 words · K k:KXMRBEASTMENTION-25OCT31 · as_of 2026-10-24T14:05:38Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-09-15 · tn/th blank: no podcast episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMRBEASTMENTION-25OCT31 ({word} = w of K rows): If MrBeast says {word} as part of Next Youtube Video, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Survive	survive	3	3	1	YYY	0.65	hist	no
Challenge	challenge	2	2	1	YY	0.65	hist	yes
Million	million	2	2	1	YY	0.65	hist	no
Money	money	2	2	1	YY	0.65	hist	yes
Time	time	2	2	1	YY	0.65	hist	yes
Water	water	2	2	1	YY	0.65	hist	no
Feastable	feastable	1	1	1	Y	0.58	hist	yes
Subscribe	subscribe	5	3	0.6	nnYYY	0.49	hist	yes
Prize	prize	4	2	0.5	YnnY	0.49	hist	yes
Beast	beast	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.49	hist	yes
Camera	camera	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.49	hist	no
Contestant	contestant	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.49	hist	no
Island	island	2	1	0.5	nY	0.49	hist	no
Insane	insane	5	2	0.4	nnYYn	0.49	hist	no
SeatGeek	seatgeek	1	0	0	n	0.39	hist	no
Elimination	elimination	2	0	0	nn	0.33	hist	no
Acquisition	acquisition	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Charity	charity	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Jet	jet	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Win	win	0	0			0.49	prior	yes