# MrBeast (mrbeast) · podcast_episode by 2025-09-28 (settled) · 22 words · K k:KXMRBEASTMENTION-25OCT16 · as_of 2026-10-25T04:30:05Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-09-28 · tn/th blank: no podcast episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMRBEASTMENTION-25OCT16 ({word} = w of K rows): If MrBeast says {word} during his Next MrBeast Youtube Video, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Challenge	challenge	3	3	1	YYY	0.7	hist	yes
Money	money	3	3	1	YYY	0.7	hist	yes
Time	time	3	3	1	YYY	0.7	hist	yes
Feastable	feastable	2	2	1	YY	0.64	hist	no
Win	win	1	1	1	Y	0.57	hist	yes
Million	million	4	3	0.75	YYnY	0.55	hist	yes
Subscribe	subscribe	7	5	0.71	nnYYYYY	0.55	hist	yes
Beast	beast	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.55	hist	no
Water	water	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.55	hist	yes
Prize	prize	5	3	0.6	YnnYY	0.55	hist	yes
Survive	survive	5	3	0.6	YYYnn	0.55	hist	no
Insane	insane	7	3	0.43	nnYYnnY	0.41	hist	yes
Camera	camera	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.41	hist	yes
Contestant	contestant	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.41	hist	no
Charity	charity	1	0	0	n	0.39	hist	no
Elimination	elimination	3	0	0	nnn	0.27	hist	no
Explore	explore	2	0	0	nn	0.48	prior	no
Available	available	0	0			0.48	prior	no
Game	game	0	0			0.48	prior	no
House	house	0	0			0.48	prior	yes
Speed	speed	0	0			0.48	prior	no
Week	week	0	0			0.48	prior	no