# MrBeast (mrbeast) · podcast_episode by 2025-10-26 (settled) · 23 words · K k:KXMRBEASTMENTION-25NOV16 · as_of 2026-10-24T21:40:00Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-10-26 · tn/th blank: no podcast episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMRBEASTMENTION-25NOV16 ({word} = w of K rows): If MrBeast says {word} as part of Next MrBeast Youtube Video, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Challenge	challenge	5	5	1	YYYYY	0.77	hist	no
Money	money	5	5	1	YYYYY	0.77	hist	yes
Time	time	5	5	1	YYYYY	0.77	hist	yes
Win	win	3	3	1	YYY	0.69	hist	no
Million	million	6	5	0.83	YYnYYY	0.65	hist	yes
Subscribe	subscribe	9	7	0.78	nnYYYYYYY	0.65	hist	no
Feastable	feastable	4	3	0.75	YYnY	0.61	hist	no
Water	water	5	3	0.6	YYnYn	0.54	hist	yes
Prize	prize	7	4	0.57	YnnYYYn	0.54	hist	no
Game	game	2	1	0.5	nY	0.48	hist	no
House	house	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.48	hist	no
Speed	speed	2	1	0.5	nY	0.48	hist	yes
Week	week	2	1	0.5	nY	0.48	hist	yes
Insane	insane	9	4	0.44	nnYYnnYYn	0.43	hist	no
Survive	survive	7	3	0.43	YYYnnnn	0.43	hist	yes
Beast	beast	5	2	0.4	YnYnn	0.43	hist	no
Camera	camera	5	2	0.4	YnnYn	0.43	hist	no
Contestant	contestant	5	1	0.2	Ynnnn	0.32	hist	no
Explore	explore	4	0	0	nnnn	0.32	hist	no
Available	available	2	0	0	nn	0.32	hist	no
Charity	charity	3	0	0	nnn	0.27	hist	no
Elimination	elimination	5	0	0	nnnnn	0.2	hist	no
Sleep	sleep	0	0			0.47	prior	yes