# MrBeast (mrbeast) · podcast_episode by 2025-10-12 (settled) · 22 words · K k:KXMRBEASTMENTION-25NOV01 · as_of 2026-10-24T23:40:01Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-10-12 · tn/th blank: no podcast episode transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMRBEASTMENTION-25NOV01 ({word} = w of K rows): If MrBeast says {word} as part of Next MrBeast Youtube Video, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Challenge	challenge	4	4	1	YYYY	0.74	yes
Money	money	4	4	1	YYYY	0.74	yes
Time	time	4	4	1	YYYY	0.74	yes
Win	win	2	2	1	YY	0.64	yes
Million	million	5	4	0.8	YYnYY	0.61	yes
Subscribe	subscribe	8	6	0.75	nnYYYYYY	0.61	yes
Water	water	4	3	0.75	YYnY	0.61	no
Prize	prize	6	4	0.67	YnnYYY	0.61	no
House	house	1	1	1	Y	0.57	no
Feastable	feastable	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.55	yes
Insane	insane	8	4	0.5	nnYYnnYY	0.48	no
Survive	survive	6	3	0.5	YYYnnn	0.48	no
Beast	beast	4	2	0.5	YnYn	0.48	no
Camera	camera	4	2	0.5	YnnY	0.48	no
Explore	explore	3	0	0	nnn	0.38	no
Available	available	1	0	0	n	0.38	no
Game	game	1	0	0	n	0.38	yes
Speed	speed	1	0	0	n	0.38	yes
Week	week	1	0	0	n	0.38	yes
Contestant	contestant	4	1	0.25	Ynnn	0.36	no
Charity	charity	2	0	0	nn	0.32	no
Elimination	elimination	4	0	0	nnnn	0.23	no