# MrBeast (mrbeast) · podcast_episode by 2025-09-01 (settled) · 20 words · K k:KXMRBEASTMENTION-25DEC31 · as_of 2026-10-24T23:21:58Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-09-01 · tn/th blank: no podcast episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMRBEASTMENTION-25DEC31 ({word} = w of K rows): If MrBeast says {word} as part of Next Youtube Video, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Survive	survive	2	2	1	YY	0.55	hist	yes
Beast	beast	1	1	1	Y	0.55	hist	no
Camera	camera	1	1	1	Y	0.55	hist	no
Challenge	challenge	1	1	1	Y	0.55	hist	yes
Contestant	contestant	1	1	1	Y	0.55	hist	no
Million	million	1	1	1	Y	0.55	hist	yes
Money	money	1	1	1	Y	0.55	hist	yes
Time	time	1	1	1	Y	0.55	hist	yes
Water	water	1	1	1	Y	0.55	hist	yes
Prize	prize	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.55	hist	no
Insane	insane	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.37	hist	yes
Subscribe	subscribe	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.37	hist	yes
Amazon	amazon	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	no
Elimination	elimination	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	no
Island	island	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	yes
Squid Game	squid game	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	no
Chocolate	chocolate	1	1	1	Y	0.45	prior	no
Feastable	feastable	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
SeatGeek	seatgeek	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Tesla	tesla	0	0			0.45	prior	no