# MrBeast (mrbeast) · podcast_episode by 2025-11-24 (settled) · 18 words · K k:KXMRBEASTMENTION-25DEC16 · as_of 2026-10-24T10:02:10Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-11-24 · tn/th blank: no podcast episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMRBEASTMENTION-25DEC16 ({word} = w of K rows): If MrBeast says {word} as part of Next MrBeast Youtube Video, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Time	time	7	7	1	YYYYYYY	0.82	hist	yes
Million	million	8	7	0.88	YYnYYYYY	0.72	hist	yes
Money	money	7	6	0.86	YYYYYYn	0.72	hist	no
Win	win	5	4	0.8	YYYnY	0.65	hist	yes
Subscribe	subscribe	11	8	0.73	nYYYYYYYnY	0.62	hist	no
Feastable	feastable	6	4	0.67	YYnYnY	0.58	hist	no
Water	water	7	4	0.57	YYnYnYn	0.53	hist	no
Survive	survive	9	5	0.56	YYYnnnnYY	0.53	hist	no
Speed	speed	4	2	0.5	nYYn	0.48	hist	yes
Week	week	4	2	0.5	nYYn	0.48	hist	no
Prize	prize	9	4	0.44	YnnYYYnnn	0.44	hist	no
Beast	beast	7	3	0.43	YnYnnnY	0.44	hist	yes
Camera	camera	7	3	0.43	YnnYnnY	0.44	hist	no
Insane	insane	11	4	0.36	nYYnnYYnnn	0.35	hist	no
Contestant	contestant	7	2	0.29	YnnnnnY	0.35	hist	no
Elimination	elimination	7	1	0.14	nnnnnnY	0.25	hist	no
Charity	charity	5	0	0	nnnnn	0.2	hist	no
Surprise	surprise	1	0	0	n	0.47	prior	yes