# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-07-14 · 14 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-MLBHRDERBY26 · as_of 2026-10-24T13:34:49Z
# scope K any_official_commentator · n/y settled before 2026-07-14 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-MLBHRDERBY26 ({word} = w of K rows): If any official broadcast commentator - includes play by play, color commentator, rules analyst or sideline reporter says {word} as part of 2026 MLB Home Run Derby , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
MVP	mvp	159	104	0.65	YnYYYYYnnn	0.61	hist	yes
Ohtani	ohtani	157	67	0.43	nnnYnnYnYn	0.42	hist	no
What a Catch	what a catch	160	10	0.06	nnnnnnnnnn	0.08	hist	yes
500	500	0	0			0.55	prior	no
Alonso	alonso	0	0			0.55	prior	no
Cheesesteak	cheesesteak	0	0			0.55	prior	no
Citizens Bank	citizens bank	0	0			0.55	prior	yes
Eagles	eagle	0	0			0.55	prior	no
Griffey	griffey	0	0			0.55	prior	yes
Judge	judge	0	0			0.55	prior	yes
Laser	laser	0	0			0.55	prior	yes
Netflix	netflix	0	0			0.55	prior	yes
Phillies	philly	0	0			0.55	prior	yes
Upper Deck	upper deck	0	0			0.55	prior	yes