# Stephen Miran (stephen-miran) · keynote 2025-10-16 · 12 words · K k:KXMIRANMENTION-25OCT16 · as_of 2026-10-24T05:05:15Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-10-16 · tn/th blank: no keynote transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMIRANMENTION-25OCT16 ({word} = w of K rows): If Stephen Miran says {word} as part of CNBC Invest in America Forum on October 15th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	p	res
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	0	0		0.41	no
Cut	cut	0	0		0.41	yes
Economy	economy	0	0		0.41	yes
Fed Chair	fed chair	0	0		0.41	no
Inflation	inflation	0	0		0.41	yes
Powell	powell	0	0		0.41	no
Rate	rate	0	0		0.41	yes
Recession	recession	0	0		0.41	no
Restrictive	restrictive	0	0		0.41	yes
Stock Market	stock market	0	0		0.41	yes
Tariff	tariff	0	0		0.41	yes
Trump	trump	0	0		0.41	yes