# Stephen Miran (stephen-miran) · keynote 2025-11-08 · 12 words · K k:KXMIRANMENTION-25NOV08 · as_of 2026-10-24T05:05:15Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-11-08 · tn/th blank: no keynote transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMIRANMENTION-25NOV08 ({word} = w of K rows): If Stephen Miran says {word} as part of speech at the BCVC Summit 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Economy	economy	1	1	1	Y	0.69	hist	yes
Rate	rate	1	1	1	Y	0.69	hist	yes
Restrictive	restrictive	1	1	1	Y	0.69	hist	no
Stock Market	stock market	1	1	1	Y	0.69	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	1	1	1	Y	0.69	hist	no
Trump	trump	1	1	1	Y	0.69	hist	no
Fed Chair	fed chair	1	0	0	n	0.28	hist	no
Powell	powell	1	0	0	n	0.28	hist	no
Recession	recession	1	0	0	n	0.28	hist	no
Bitcoin	bitcoin	0	0			0.48	prior	no
Genius Act	genius act	0	0			0.48	prior	yes
Token / Tokenization	token|tokenization	0	0			0.48	prior	no