# Congressional hearings (congressional-hearings) · hearing 2026-03-10 · 16 words · K k:KXMENTION-WITNE26MAR10 · as_of 2026-10-24T11:24:36Z
# scope K any_witness · n/y settled before 2026-03-10 · tn/th blank: no hearing transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMENTION-WITNE26MAR10 ({word} = w of K rows): If any participating witness says {word} as part of Senate hearing on Protecting American Citizenship: Birthright Citizenship for Illegal Aliens and Tourists, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Border	border	3	3	1	YYY	0.73	hist	yes
Kristi / Noem	kristi|noem	1	1	1	Y	0.61	hist	no
China / Chinese	china|chinese	0	0			0.59	hist	yes
Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional	constitution|constitutional|unconstitutional	0	0			0.59	hist	yes
Mexico / Mexican	mexican|mexico	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.49	hist	yes
Biden	biden	7	3	0.43	YnnYnnY	0.45	hist	yes
Fraud	fraud	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.41	hist	yes
ICE / DHS	dhs|ice	1	0	0	n	0.4	hist	yes
14th Amendment	14th amendment	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
Anchor Baby	anchor baby	0	0			0.51	prior	no
Deport / Deported / Deportation	deport|deportation|deported	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
Immune / Immunity	immune|immunity	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
India / Indian	india|indian	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
Loophole	loophole	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
Student	student	0	0			0.51	prior	no
Supreme Court	supreme court	0	0			0.51	prior	yes