# Congressional hearings (congressional-hearings) · hearing 2026-03-18 · 13 words · K k:KXMENTION-WITN26MAR18 · as_of 2026-10-24T23:00:57Z
# scope K any_witness · n/y settled before 2026-03-18 · tn/th blank: no hearing transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMENTION-WITN26MAR18 ({word} = w of K rows): If any participating witness says {word} as part of The House Judiciary Subcommittee on Oversight: The Legal Basis for Action Against Venezuelan Drug Traffickers, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Border	border	4	4	1	YYYY	0.78	hist	yes
China	china	2	2	1	YY	0.7	hist	yes
Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional	constitution|constitutional|unconstitutional	2	2	1	YY	0.7	hist	yes
Iran	iran	2	2	1	YY	0.7	hist	yes
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	5	3	0.6	YYYnn	0.54	hist	yes
Russia	russia	0	0			0.44	hist	no
Biden	biden	10	4	0.4	YnnYnnYnYn	0.43	hist	yes
Socialist / Socialism	socialism|socialist	1	0	0	n	0.42	hist	yes
Fentanyl	fentanyl	2	0	0	nn	0.35	hist	yes
America First	america first	0	0			0.54	prior	yes
Maduro	maduro	0	0			0.54	prior	yes
Oil	oil	0	0			0.54	prior	yes
War Power	war power	0	0			0.54	prior	yes