# John Thune (john-thune) · interview 2026-03-17 · 11 words · K k:KXMENTION-THUN26MAR17 · as_of 2026-10-24T17:18:58Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-17 · tn/th blank: no interview transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMENTION-THUN26MAR17 ({word} = w of K rows): If John Thune says {word} as part of Fox News: Special Report, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	p	res
Cheat / Cheating	cheat|cheating	1	0	0		0.44	no
Filibuster	filibuster	1	0	0		0.44	yes
Fraud	fraud	1	0	0		0.44	yes
ID / Identification	id|identification	1	0	0		0.44	yes
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	1	0	0		0.44	no
Iran	iran	1	0	0		0.44	yes
Kristi / Noem	kristi|noem	1	0	0		0.44	no
Oil	oil	1	0	0		0.44	yes
Schumer	schumer	1	0	0		0.44	yes
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	0	0		0.44	no
Woman	woman	1	0	0		0.44	no