# James Talarico (james-talarico) · briefing 2026-03-12 · 12 words · K k:KXMENTION-TALA26MAR12 · as_of 2026-10-24T15:03:26Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-12 · tn/th blank: no briefing transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMENTION-TALA26MAR12 ({word} = w of K rows): If James Talarico says {word} as part of The Briefing with Jen Psaki, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	3	3	1	YYY	0.65	hist	yes
Republican	republican	2	2	1	YY	0.61	hist	yes
Iran	iran	1	1	1	Y	0.55	hist	yes
Billionaire	billionaire	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.46	hist	yes
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.46	hist	no
Jesus / God	god|jesus	1	0	0	n	0.38	hist	yes
Mediocre	mediocre	1	0	0	n	0.38	hist	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	2	0	0	nn	0.32	hist	yes
ICE / Border	border|ice	2	0	0	nn	0.32	hist	no
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	0	0			0.46	prior	yes
Election	election	0	0			0.46	prior	yes
Immigrant / Immigration	immigrant|immigration	0	0			0.46	prior	no