# Gavin Newsom (gavin-newsom) · remarks 2026-03-11 · 15 words · K k:KXMENTION-NEWS26MAR11 · as_of 2026-10-24T22:03:56Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-11 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMENTION-NEWS26MAR11 ({word} = w of K rows): If Gavin Newsom says {word} as part of Governor Newsom announces historic funding for behavioral health treatment across California, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Safe / Safer / Safety	safe|safer|safety	3	3	1	YYY	0.7	hist	yes
Trump	trump	14	11	0.79	YYYnYYYnYY	0.68	hist	yes
Mental Health	mental health	2	2	1	YY	0.65	hist	yes
Immigrant / Immigration	immigrant|immigration	2	2	1	YY	0.61	hist	no
Republican	republican	7	4	0.57	nnYYYnY	0.59	hist	no
Homeless / Homelessness	homeless|homelessness	5	3	0.6	YYnYn	0.5	hist	yes
Democracy	democracy	14	8	0.57	YYYnYnYnYn	0.48	hist	no
ICE / Border	border|ice	6	3	0.5	YnYnYn	0.45	hist	no
Budget / Deficit	budget|deficit	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.4	hist	yes
Election	election	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.37	hist	yes
Iran	iran	1	0	0	n	0.36	hist	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	0	0			0.33	hist	yes
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	7	1	0.14	nnnnnnY	0.3	hist	no
2028 / Campaign	2028|campaign	11	2	0.18	nnnnnnYnYn	0.25	hist	yes
Federal	federal	0	0			0.46	prior	yes