# Markwayne Mullin (markwayne-mullin) · hearing 2026-03-18 · 18 words · K k:KXMENTION-MARK26MAR18 · as_of 2026-10-24T14:28:09Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-18 · tn/th blank: no hearing transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMENTION-MARK26MAR18 ({word} = w of K rows): If Markwayne Mullin says {word} as part of Senate Confirmation Hearing on DHS, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	p	res
America First	america first	0	0		0.44	no
Biden	biden	0	0		0.44	yes
China	china	0	0		0.44	yes
Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional	constitution|constitutional|unconstitutional	0	0		0.44	yes
Deport / Deportation	deport|deportation	0	0		0.44	yes
Election	election	0	0		0.44	yes
Fentanyl	fentanyl	0	0		0.44	no
Fraud	fraud	0	0		0.44	no
Homan	homan	0	0		0.44	no
Iran	iran	0	0		0.44	no
Kristi / Noem	kristi|noem	0	0		0.44	yes
Mask / Masked	mask|masked	0	0		0.44	no
Mexico / Mexican	mexican|mexico	0	0		0.44	no
Minnesota / Minneapolis	minneapolis|minnesota	0	0		0.44	no
Renee / Pretti	pretti|renee	0	0		0.44	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	0	0		0.44	yes
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	somali|somalia|somalian	0	0		0.44	no
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	0	0		0.44	no