# Zohran Mamdani (zohran-mamdani) · presser 2026-03-12 · 15 words · K k:KXMENTION-MAMD26MAR12 · as_of 2026-10-24T07:00:21Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-12 · tn/th last 8 presser transcripts 2026-01-09..2026-03-09 · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMENTION-MAMD26MAR12 ({word} = w of K rows): If Zohran Mamdani says {word} as part of next NYC Mayor's Office announcement, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Safe / Safety / Safer	safe|safer|safety	40	30	0.75	YnYYYYYYYY	8	8	0.75	hist	yes
Tax	tax	3	3	1	YYY	8	2	0.65	hist	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	35	19	0.54	nnnYYYYnYn	8	3	0.5	hist	yes
Budget / Deficit	budget|deficit	12	6	0.5	YnnnYnnYYn	8	3	0.5	hist	yes
Ramadan	ramadan	0	0			8	1	0.47	hist	yes
NYPD	nypd	40	16	0.4	YYnnYYnnYn	8	6	0.45	hist	yes
Trump / President	president|trump	26	11	0.42	nnnYYYYYnn	8	1	0.43	hist	yes
Landlord	landlord	3	1	0.33	nnY	8	1	0.43	hist	yes
Governor / Hochul	governor|hochul	40	16	0.4	nnnYnYYnYn	8	2	0.4	hist	yes
Childcare	childcare	1	0	0	n	8	2	0.39	hist	yes
Economy / Economic	economic|economy	53	16	0.3	nnnnnnYnYn	8	1	0.34	hist	yes
FBI	fbi	2	0	0	nn	8	0	0.33	hist	no
Muslim / Islam / Islamic	islam|islamic|muslim	0	0			8	2	0.3	hist	yes
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	3	0	0	nnn	8	0	0.29	hist	no
Antisemitism / Antisemitic	antisemitic|antisemitism	0	0			8	0	0.47	prior	no